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Red86
656929.8
725028.6
922729.8
Blue63
85741.5
51629.7
924922.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10287501502008663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
66Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
86Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9227
#20
29.80.3
29.929.6
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.2
blue by 11.6
857
#5
41.51.2
39.137.9
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End6.2
Second
6569
#23
29.80.3
30.229.8
Auto3.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
red by 7.1
9249
#15
22.71.2
24.423.2
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End1.2
Third
7250
#31
28.60.3
25.124.8
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
red by 18.9
5162
#22
9.71.2
12.411.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed