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Red68
972228.9
771310.7
776843.0
Blue101
655813.4
977327.0
439848.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778805010015068101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +43
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
38Total teleop81
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
68Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.5
36.536.1
Auto9.5
Teleop31.3
End2.2
blue by 5.7
48.71.1
45.246.3
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
Second
9722
#12
28.90.5
23.422.9
Auto5.8
Teleop21.4
End1.7
red by 1.9
9773
#16
27.01.1
23.824.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.9
End2.7
Third
7713
#39
10.70.5
12.011.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
blue by 2.7
6558
#30
13.41.1
12.413.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed