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Red167
439238.4
439177.8
975523.7
Blue98
607740.8
437723.7
498821.8
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155845010020025016798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+71Teleop
+73Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
23Coral scored#14
83Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
123Total teleop69
Reef
11L4#5
8L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
2Foul points6
167Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.81.3
72.673.9
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End10.2
red by 37.0
6077
#17
40.80.2
37.237.4
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End8.3
Second
4392
#13
38.41.3
33.735.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.0
End1.6
red by 14.8
4377
#36
23.70.2
18.518.8
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Third
9755
#24
23.71.3
18.519.8
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End1.9
red by 1.9
4988
#26
21.80.2
17.918.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned