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Red80
518316.5
598034.4
725028.6
Blue119
550121.0
159627.2
85741.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97103809010011012080119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+39
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +29
12Coral scored#17
43Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
65Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#8
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
80Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#11
34.41.3
32.030.7
Auto5.0
Teleop22.1
End7.2
blue by 7.0
857
#5
41.50.7
37.938.5
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End6.2
Second
7250
#31
28.61.3
24.823.5
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
red by 1.4
27.20.7
21.221.9
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End0.4
Third
5183
#21
16.51.3
16.114.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
blue by 4.5
5501
#27
21.00.7
19.720.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed