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Red75
360227.3
521321.2
922729.8
Blue108
1060523.1
554737.9
972228.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829820406012014016018075108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
60Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#6
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
75Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9227
#20
29.80.9
29.628.7
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.2
blue by 8.1
37.90.9
32.933.8
Auto4.2
Teleop26.6
End7.1
Second
3602
#32
27.30.9
28.027.1
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End1.3
blue by 1.6
9722
#12
28.90.9
22.923.8
Auto5.8
Teleop21.4
End1.7
Third
5213
#34
21.20.9
15.714.8
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
blue by 1.9
23.10.9
25.926.8
Auto4.2
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned