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Red62
607740.8
51629.7
655813.4
Blue70
924922.7
550121.0
918820.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8084506070901001106270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
46Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points2
62Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#17
40.80.7
37.436.7
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End8.3
red by 18.0
9249
#15
22.70.7
23.222.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End1.2
Second
6558
#30
13.40.7
13.612.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
blue by 7.6
5501
#27
21.00.7
20.419.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
Third
5162
#22
9.70.7
11.210.5
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 11.1
9188
#29
20.80.7
22.321.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed