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Red121
437534.1
656929.8
720228.1
Blue141
1050536.1
159627.2
598034.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081128090100120130140150121141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +30
16Coral scored#26
56Coral points94
5Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
30Processor points18
12Net points16
42Algae points34
98Total teleop128
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
121Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#35
34.11.2
28.930.1
Auto6.0
Teleop26.8
End1.3
blue by 2.0
36.12.2
31.834.0
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
Second
6569
#23
29.81.2
29.731.0
Auto3.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
blue by 4.6
5980
#11
34.42.2
30.732.9
Auto5.0
Teleop22.1
End7.2
Third
28.11.2
25.827.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End8.3
red by 0.8
27.22.2
21.924.0
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed