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Red135
776843.0
531437.0
439238.4
Blue107
725028.6
611222.1
437723.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127590100150200135107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+16Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
23Coral scored#16
81Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
103Total teleop91
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#4
9L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
135Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.0
36.137.1
Auto9.5
Teleop31.3
End2.2
red by 14.4
7250
#31
28.62.1
23.525.6
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
Second
4392
#13
38.41.0
35.036.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.0
End1.6
red by 14.8
4377
#36
23.72.1
18.820.9
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Third
37.01.0
35.836.8
Auto5.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 15.0
6112
#28
22.12.1
18.420.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed