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Red147
518316.5
439848.7
439177.8
Blue66
496738.8
548620.8
607916.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158675010020025014766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+81Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +64
19Coral scored#8
69Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
101Total teleop37
Reef
12L4#4
4L3#3
6L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
147Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.80.8
73.974.7
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End10.2
red by 39.0
4967
#14
38.80.5
36.736.2
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
Second
48.70.8
46.347.1
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
red by 27.9
5486
#33
20.80.5
19.118.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Third
5183
#21
16.50.8
14.815.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
red by 0.1
6079
#38
16.40.5
17.917.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned