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Red75
612143.9
655813.4
771310.7
Blue81
920517.1
85741.5
922729.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6994204060801001201407581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
55Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
75Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#18
43.90.8
39.540.3
Auto5.8
Teleop36.0
End2.2
red by 2.5
857
#5
41.50.0
38.538.5
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End6.2
Second
6558
#30
13.40.8
12.913.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
blue by 16.5
9227
#20
29.80.0
28.728.6
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
7713
#39
10.70.8
10.811.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
blue by 6.4
9205
#25
17.10.0
14.214.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed