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Red27
607916.4
1060523.1
360227.3
Blue96
1050536.1
924922.7
258644.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74115501001502002796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+73
Endgame+69
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
3Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +56
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#6
6Processor points6
0Net points24
6Algae points30
20Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points0
27Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#32
27.32.9
27.124.2
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End1.3
blue by 17.4
2586
#10
44.70.3
43.343.0
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End2.8
Second
23.12.9
26.823.8
Auto4.2
Teleop16.9
End2.0
blue by 13.1
36.10.3
34.033.7
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
Third
6079
#38
16.43.0
17.414.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 6.3
9249
#15
22.70.3
22.522.3
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed