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Red82
656929.8
598034.4
498821.8
Blue116
531437.0
496738.8
518316.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031048012014082116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#15
32Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
46Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
20Cage & park26
20Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
82Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#11
34.40.6
32.932.3
Auto5.0
Teleop22.1
End7.2
blue by 4.4
4967
#14
38.81.3
36.237.4
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
Second
6569
#23
29.80.6
31.030.3
Auto3.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
blue by 7.2
37.01.3
36.838.1
Auto5.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Third
4988
#26
21.80.6
19.418.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 5.3
5183
#21
16.51.3
15.616.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned