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Red137
920517.1
612143.9
439848.7
Blue127
554737.9
725028.6
521321.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1207950100150200137127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
23Coral scored#18
83Coral points63
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
121Total teleop99
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#6
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
137Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.71.3
47.148.5
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
red by 10.8
37.92.3
33.836.1
Auto4.2
Teleop26.6
End7.1
Second
6121
#18
43.91.3
40.341.6
Auto5.8
Teleop36.0
End2.2
red by 15.3
7250
#31
28.62.3
25.627.9
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
Third
9205
#25
17.11.3
14.215.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End1.1
blue by 4.1
5213
#34
21.22.3
14.817.2
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned