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Red138
498821.8
437534.1
776843.0
Blue153
612143.9
521321.2
85741.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021118090120130140150138153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points77
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
12Processor points24
16Net points20
28Algae points44
113Total teleop121
Reef
10L4#8
9L3#8
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
138Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.02.2
40.042.2
Auto9.5
Teleop31.3
End2.2
blue by 0.9
6121
#18
43.92.5
41.644.1
Auto5.8
Teleop36.0
End2.2
Second
4375
#35
34.12.2
30.432.6
Auto6.0
Teleop26.8
End1.3
blue by 7.3
857
#5
41.52.5
38.841.3
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End6.2
Third
4988
#26
21.82.2
18.821.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 0.7
5213
#34
21.22.5
17.219.7
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned