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Red109
554737.9
439848.7
437723.7
Blue76
924922.7
973320.9
656929.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131825010015020010976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
20Coral scored#12
72Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
92Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#4
10L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
109Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.4
48.548.1
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
red by 18.9
6569
#23
29.80.1
30.330.3
Auto3.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
Second
37.90.4
36.135.7
Auto4.2
Teleop26.6
End7.1
red by 15.2
9249
#15
22.70.1
22.322.2
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End1.2
Third
4377
#36
23.70.4
23.823.5
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 2.7
9733
#37
20.90.1
21.521.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed