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Red136
920517.1
360227.3
159627.2
Blue77
655813.4
918820.8
496738.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829520406012014016013677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+49Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points42
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
18Processor points12
32Net points8
50Algae points20
108Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
10Foul points0
136Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#32
27.32.0
24.226.2
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End1.3
blue by 11.5
4967
#14
38.80.7
37.436.7
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
Second
27.22.0
23.625.6
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End0.4
red by 6.4
9188
#29
20.80.7
22.021.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.4
End1.6
Third
9205
#25
17.12.0
15.517.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End1.1
red by 3.7
6558
#30
13.40.7
13.712.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed