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Red169
611222.1
439177.8
531437.0
Blue55
1060523.1
771310.7
518316.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16449010015020025016955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+80Teleop
+102Endgame
+114Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +59
19Coral scored#8
69Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
12Processor points0
20Net points12
32Algae points12
101Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#1
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#11
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +114
12Foul points0
169Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.80.1
77.777.8
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End10.2
red by 54.7
23.10.9
23.822.9
Auto4.2
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Second
37.00.1
38.138.2
Auto5.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 20.5
5183
#21
16.50.9
16.916.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Third
6112
#28
22.10.1
21.421.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End6.9
red by 11.3
7713
#39
10.70.9
11.610.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed