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Red96
720228.1
1050536.1
607916.4
Blue135
598034.4
975523.7
972228.9
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9298708011012013096135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave0
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points19
17Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +29
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
65Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#8
2L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
96Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.4
33.734.1
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
red by 1.7
5980
#11
34.42.3
32.334.5
Auto5.0
Teleop22.1
End7.2
Second
28.10.4
26.626.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End8.3
blue by 0.9
9722
#12
28.92.3
24.126.4
Auto5.8
Teleop21.4
End1.7
Third
6079
#38
16.40.4
14.414.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 7.3
9755
#24
23.72.3
20.622.8
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned