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Red123
360227.3
496738.8
977327.0
Blue118
607916.4
550121.0
607740.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10284050150200250123118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points40
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
105Total teleop84
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points6
123Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
38.81.4
36.738.1
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
blue by 2.0
6077
#17
40.81.6
38.239.9
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End8.3
Second
3602
#32
27.31.4
26.227.6
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End1.3
red by 6.3
5501
#27
21.01.6
19.321.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
Third
9773
#16
27.01.4
25.627.0
Auto5.4
Teleop18.9
End2.7
red by 10.6
6079
#38
16.41.6
14.816.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned