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Red95
518316.5
924922.7
439238.4
Blue62
920517.1
656929.8
918820.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86906070801001101201309562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+21Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
65Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
12Foul points0
95Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#13
38.40.5
37.037.5
Auto5.8
Teleop31.0
End1.6
red by 8.6
6569
#23
29.80.5
30.329.8
Auto3.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
Second
9249
#15
22.70.5
22.222.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End1.2
red by 1.9
9188
#29
20.80.5
21.320.8
Auto3.9
Teleop15.4
End1.6
Third
5183
#21
16.50.5
16.016.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
blue by 0.6
9205
#25
17.10.5
17.617.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed