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Red121
1050536.1
521321.2
498821.8
Blue129
439848.7
51629.7
159627.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011126080120140160121129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+6
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
19Coral scored#20
69Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
97Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#9
7L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#31
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points2
121Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.8
34.134.9
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
blue by 12.6
48.70.7
48.148.8
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
Second
4988
#26
21.80.8
21.021.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.6
End4.1
blue by 5.4
27.20.7
25.626.3
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End0.4
Third
5213
#34
21.20.8
19.720.5
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
red by 11.5
5162
#22
9.70.7
9.09.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed