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Red100
725028.6
972228.9
548620.8
Blue80
1060523.1
776843.0
973320.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610320406012014016018010080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+22Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points37
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
86Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#2
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
100Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9722
#12
28.91.9
26.428.3
Auto5.8
Teleop21.4
End1.7
blue by 14.1
43.00.4
42.241.8
Auto9.5
Teleop31.3
End2.2
Second
7250
#31
28.61.9
26.128.0
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
red by 5.5
23.10.4
22.922.5
Auto4.2
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Third
5486
#33
20.81.9
18.920.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End1.5
blue by 0.1
9733
#37
20.90.4
21.420.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed