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Red94
607740.8
439238.4
159627.2
Blue123
776843.0
1050536.1
437534.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281388010012016018020022094123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+41
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +33
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
64Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
94Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#17
40.80.3
41.040.8
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End8.3
blue by 2.2
43.00.2
43.143.4
Auto9.5
Teleop31.3
End2.2
Second
4392
#13
38.40.3
38.738.4
Auto5.8
Teleop31.0
End1.6
red by 2.3
36.10.2
36.336.5
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
Third
27.20.3
27.527.2
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End0.4
blue by 6.9
4375
#35
34.10.2
34.334.5
Auto6.0
Teleop26.8
End1.3