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Red173
439848.7
437723.7
439177.8
Blue110
496738.8
521321.2
531437.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17811050100150200250173110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
23Coral scored#18
82Coral points65
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
120Total teleop83
Reef
10L4#5
9L3#6
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points12
173Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.80.4
77.577.9
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End10.2
red by 39.0
4967
#14
38.80.1
39.139.0
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
Second
48.70.4
48.448.8
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
red by 11.7
37.00.1
37.437.2
Auto5.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Third
4377
#36
23.70.4
23.323.8
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 2.5
5213
#34
21.20.1
21.521.4
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6