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Red147
445322.9
477651.1
91055.6
Blue142
716659.9
608529.4
168438.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13413180100120160180200220147142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+3Teleop
+1Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +10
18Coral scored#18
65Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
89Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#8
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
4Foul points0
147Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#2
55.60.3
55.355.6
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
blue by 4.2
59.90.3
59.559.9
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
Second
4776
#10
51.10.3
50.851.1
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
red by 12.9
1684
#18
38.20.3
37.938.2
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Third
4453
#13
22.90.3
22.622.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 6.5
6085
#31
29.40.3
29.129.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4