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Red157
445322.9
477651.1
91055.6
Blue151
716659.9
608529.4
168438.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331306080100120140160180200220157151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#18
70Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
94Total teleop97
Reef
12L4#8
4L3#5
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
157Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#2
55.60.7
54.755.3
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
blue by 4.2
59.90.6
59.059.5
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
Second
4776
#10
51.10.7
50.250.8
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
red by 12.9
1684
#18
38.20.6
37.337.9
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Third
4453
#13
22.90.7
22.022.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 6.5
6085
#31
29.40.6
28.529.1
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4