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Red121
445322.9
477651.1
91055.6
Blue129
716659.9
608529.4
168438.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13312950100150200250121129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
61Total teleop69
Reef
9L4#12
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +8
4Foul points0
121Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#2
55.60.2
54.954.7
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
blue by 4.2
59.90.1
58.959.0
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
Second
4776
#10
51.10.2
50.450.2
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
red by 12.9
1684
#18
38.20.1
37.237.3
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Third
4453
#13
22.90.2
22.222.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 6.5
6085
#31
29.40.1
28.428.5
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4