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Red160
716659.9
608529.4
168438.2
Blue154
365554.5
495623.1
705645.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128129100110120140150160170160154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+20Teleop
+8Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points33
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +19
25Coral scored#17
91Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
109Total teleop90
Reef
12L4#11
9L3#6
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points2
160Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.8
58.058.9
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
red by 5.4
54.50.7
53.854.5
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
Second
1684
#18
38.20.8
36.337.2
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
blue by 7.2
45.40.7
44.745.4
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
Third
6085
#31
29.40.8
27.528.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4
red by 6.3
4956
#22
23.10.7
22.423.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7