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Red42
781817.5
837424.8
1034933.6
Blue88
842428.6
65566.5
705645.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76640501001502002504288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+34
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +30
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
28Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
42Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.7
28.526.8
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
blue by 11.8
45.41.8
24.526.4
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
Second
8374
#36
24.81.7
15.313.6
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End1.3
blue by 3.8
8424
#14
28.63.1
19.422.4
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
Third
7818
#26
17.52.8
17.414.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.2
End4.2
red by 10.9
6556
#39
6.51.8
11.313.1
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned