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Red38
728921.2
923813.7
132222.3
Blue62
659118.4
495623.1
607834.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59604045505565703862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
3Coral scored#9
11Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
21Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
38Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#29
22.31.3
20.819.5
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End4.9
blue by 12.6
6078
#20
34.90.3
28.028.3
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Second
7289
#38
21.21.4
24.523.1
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End0.7
blue by 1.9
4956
#22
23.10.3
15.615.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
Third
9238
#33
13.71.3
11.510.3
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 4.6
6591
#34
18.40.3
13.814.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed