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Red110
5146.2
725417.0
353659.7
Blue112
477651.1
445322.9
921529.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1187950100150200110112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
71Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#7
2L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
110Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.1
51.551.6
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
red by 8.6
4776
#10
51.12.0
37.339.3
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
Second
51
#15
46.20.1
44.344.4
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
red by 16.7
9215
#28
29.52.0
25.027.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
Third
7254
#27
17.00.1
9.59.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 5.9
4453
#13
22.92.0
16.818.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned