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Red134
860864.0
728921.2
477651.1
Blue149
365554.5
716659.9
148144.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514180100160180200134149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#21
38Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
76Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#9
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
134Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.01.3
52.353.5
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
red by 4.1
59.91.4
46.247.6
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
Second
4776
#10
51.11.3
39.340.6
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
blue by 3.3
54.51.4
39.140.5
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
Third
7289
#38
21.21.3
23.124.4
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End0.7
blue by 23.5
1481
#19
44.71.4
43.244.5
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned