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Red79
705645.4
96619.6
570413.4
Blue54
607834.9
65566.5
719531.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657820401001207954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+13Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto3
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
49Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
79Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.0
26.427.4
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
red by 10.4
6078
#20
34.91.4
28.327.0
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Second
5704
#40
13.41.7
16.218.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 17.8
7195
#32
31.21.4
29.928.5
Auto6.5
Teleop19.6
End5.1
Third
9661
#35
9.61.7
18.119.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
red by 3.0
6556
#39
6.51.4
13.111.7
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed