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Red151
6856.4
921529.5
353659.7
Blue92
749129.5
659118.4
608529.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1606205010020025015192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+55Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
19Coral scored#15
70Coral points55
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
100Total teleop73
Reef
9L4#5
10L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
151Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.3
51.651.9
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
red by 30.2
7491
#16
29.50.8
23.524.3
Auto5.1
Teleop22.0
End2.5
Second
68
#7
56.40.3
48.749.0
Auto17.1
Teleop33.0
End6.3
red by 27.0
6085
#31
29.40.8
22.323.1
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4
Third
9215
#28
29.50.3
27.027.3
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
red by 11.1
6591
#34
18.40.8
14.114.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed