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Red64
535245.1
445322.9
132222.3
Blue160
1034933.6
924120.2
722633.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907205015020064160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+60
Endgame+40
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +50
6Coral scored#17
21Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
31Total teleop81
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points56
64Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5352
#12
45.11.5
41.139.5
Auto9.8
Teleop28.1
End7.2
red by 11.2
33.92.1
21.223.3
Auto5.2
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Second
4453
#13
22.91.5
18.817.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 10.7
33.62.1
26.828.9
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
Third
1322
#29
22.31.5
19.518.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End4.9
red by 2.1
20.22.1
15.617.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned