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Red60
168438.2
842428.6
725417.0
Blue42
150434.7
923813.7
837424.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695501001506042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
47Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
60Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#18
38.20.5
31.731.3
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
red by 3.4
1504
#17
34.70.9
29.728.8
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
Second
8424
#14
28.60.8
22.421.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
red by 3.8
8374
#36
24.80.9
13.612.7
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End1.3
Third
7254
#27
17.00.5
9.79.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.4
red by 3.3
9238
#33
13.70.9
10.39.3
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed