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Red125
725417.0
860864.0
924120.2
Blue113
837424.8
749129.5
477651.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9395607080100110120130140125113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
79Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
125Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.02.6
53.556.2
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
red by 12.8
4776
#10
51.12.0
40.642.6
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
Second
20.22.6
17.720.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 9.3
7491
#16
29.52.0
24.326.2
Auto5.1
Teleop22.0
End2.5
Third
7254
#27
17.02.6
9.211.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 7.8
8374
#36
24.82.0
12.714.6
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed