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Red76
5146.2
920312.9
97539.8
Blue30
728921.2
570413.4
148144.7
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64962040801201401607630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+32Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
8Coral scored#4
30Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
44Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#6
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
76Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#15
46.20.8
44.445.3
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
red by 1.5
1481
#19
44.73.8
44.540.7
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
Second
9203
#25
12.90.8
15.616.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
blue by 8.3
7289
#38
21.23.8
24.420.6
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End0.7
Third
9753
#37
9.80.8
3.34.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 3.6
5704
#40
13.46.3
18.011.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed