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Red119
495623.1
1034933.6
365554.5
Blue105
551718.3
719531.2
91055.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10091050150200250119105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
Endgame+4
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +11
11Coral scored#10
38Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
64Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
18Foul points0
119Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.6
40.541.1
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
blue by 1.2
910
#2
55.61.3
38.940.2
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
Second
33.60.6
28.929.5
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
red by 2.4
7195
#32
31.21.3
28.529.8
Auto6.5
Teleop19.6
End5.1
Third
4956
#22
23.10.6
15.916.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
red by 4.8
5517
#30
18.31.3
12.914.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned