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Red169
722633.9
659118.4
716659.9
Blue31
65566.5
1062918.4
370731.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9846015020016931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+68Teleop
+86Endgame
+138Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
61Total teleop14
Reef
4L4#1
6L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#5
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +138
54Foul points2
169Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.5
47.649.1
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
red by 28.7
3707
#23
31.21.8
23.321.5
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9
Second
33.91.5
23.324.8
Auto5.2
Teleop25.0
End3.7
red by 15.5
18.41.8
15.814.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Third
6591
#34
18.41.5
14.916.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
red by 11.8
6556
#39
6.51.8
11.79.9
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed