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Red118
607834.9
923813.7
705645.4
Blue109
567431.9
150434.7
353659.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61120050100150200118109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points57
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
18Processor points6
8Net points16
26Algae points22
82Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
118Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.43.6
27.431.0
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
blue by 14.3
59.70.3
51.952.2
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Second
6078
#20
34.93.6
27.030.6
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
red by 0.2
1504
#17
34.70.3
28.829.1
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
Third
9238
#33
13.73.6
9.312.9
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 18.1
5674
#21
31.90.3
24.224.5
Auto3.5
Teleop26.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned