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Red98
5146.2
535245.1
749129.5
Blue106
91055.6
725417.0
728921.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1357905010015020098106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
61Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#6
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points2
98Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#15
46.21.3
45.343.9
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
blue by 9.5
910
#2
55.61.7
40.241.9
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
Second
5352
#12
45.11.3
37.536.2
Auto9.8
Teleop28.1
End7.2
red by 23.9
7289
#38
21.21.7
20.622.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End0.7
Third
7491
#16
29.51.3
26.224.9
Auto5.1
Teleop22.0
End2.5
red by 12.5
7254
#27
17.01.7
11.813.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned