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Red91
716659.9
924120.2
842428.6
Blue101
495623.1
148144.7
920312.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027605015020091101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#13
29Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
51Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
91Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.0
49.149.1
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
red by 15.2
1481
#19
44.71.4
40.742.2
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
Second
8424
#14
28.60.0
21.721.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
red by 5.4
4956
#22
23.11.4
16.618.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
Third
20.20.0
20.320.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5
red by 7.4
9203
#25
12.91.4
16.517.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed