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Red87
921529.5
150434.7
97539.8
Blue35
1034933.6
923813.7
65566.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675801001502002503008735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+46Endgame
+52Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
66Total teleop24
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
6Foul points0
87Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#17
34.71.3
29.130.4
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
red by 1.1
33.61.4
29.528.2
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
Second
9215
#28
29.51.3
27.929.2
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
red by 15.7
9238
#33
13.71.4
12.911.6
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Third
9753
#37
9.81.3
4.15.4
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
red by 3.3
6556
#39
6.51.4
9.98.6
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed