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Red86
91055.6
716659.9
65566.5
Blue55
445322.9
842428.6
5146.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111894060801001201401608655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+43Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
55Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
86Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.9
49.148.2
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
red by 13.7
51
#15
46.21.9
43.942.0
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
Second
910
#2
55.60.9
41.941.0
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
red by 27.1
8424
#14
28.63.1
21.718.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
Third
6556
#39
6.50.9
8.67.7
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
blue by 16.4
4453
#13
22.91.9
17.515.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned