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Red129
924120.2
6856.4
705645.4
Blue90
477651.1
97539.8
923813.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11952010015020012990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
70Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points6
129Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#7
56.41.3
49.350.7
Auto17.1
Teleop33.0
End6.3
red by 5.2
4776
#10
51.11.6
42.944.5
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
Second
45.41.3
33.234.6
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
red by 31.7
9238
#33
13.71.6
11.613.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Third
20.21.3
20.321.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5
red by 10.4
9753
#37
9.81.6
5.47.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned