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Red87
551718.3
370731.2
495623.1
Blue124
150434.7
749129.5
1034933.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6610820408010012014016087124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+37
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +28
11Coral scored#17
38Coral points62
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
68Total teleop96
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#26
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
87Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#23
31.21.2
23.724.9
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9
blue by 3.6
1504
#17
34.71.3
30.431.7
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
Second
4956
#22
23.11.2
18.019.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
blue by 10.5
33.61.3
28.229.5
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
Third
5517
#30
18.31.2
14.315.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
blue by 11.2
7491
#16
29.51.3
24.926.2
Auto5.1
Teleop22.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed