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Red135
921529.5
607834.9
365554.5
Blue150
860864.0
722633.9
535245.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091386080100120160180200220135150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#21
49Coral points74
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
18Processor points18
28Net points12
46Algae points30
95Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#12
3L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#32
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
135Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.7
43.144.8
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
blue by 9.5
64.01.4
59.661.0
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
Second
6078
#20
34.91.7
31.433.1
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
blue by 10.1
5352
#12
45.11.4
36.237.6
Auto9.8
Teleop28.1
End7.2
Third
9215
#28
29.51.7
29.230.9
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
blue by 4.4
33.91.4
27.028.4
Auto5.2
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned