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Red121
148144.7
353659.7
608529.4
Blue50
837424.8
920312.9
132222.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13748010015020012150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+69Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
16Coral scored#5
59Coral points19
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
93Total teleop37
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
121Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.2
53.053.2
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
red by 34.9
8374
#36
24.80.2
16.616.3
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End1.3
Second
1481
#19
44.70.2
42.242.3
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
red by 22.3
1322
#29
22.30.2
18.818.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Third
6085
#31
29.40.2
23.023.2
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4
red by 16.5
9203
#25
12.90.2
17.917.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed