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Red80
96619.6
5146.2
495623.1
Blue129
1062918.4
6856.4
150434.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83114406010014016080129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+57
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +33
10Coral scored#19
37Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
57Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#11
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
80Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#15
46.20.1
42.042.2
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
blue by 10.2
68
#7
56.42.0
50.752.7
Auto17.1
Teleop33.0
End6.3
Second
4956
#22
23.10.1
19.219.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
blue by 11.6
1504
#17
34.72.0
31.733.7
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
Third
9661
#35
9.60.2
16.616.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
blue by 8.8
18.42.0
15.918.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed